Africa

Intellidex: South Africa Should Issue a Social Bond to Finance Pandemic Support

South Africa should explore the possibility of issuing a social bond to help finance programmes aimed at countering the impact of COVID-19, according to a recent paper published by a group of economists.

28 May 2020

Nigeria Opens Subscriptions for NGN150bn Sukuk as Shift to Local Market Funding Accelerates

Nigeria’s debt management office (DMO) has opened the book on a NGN150bn (approx. USD385mn) sukuk, part of the government’s wider efforts to shift back to domestic markets for funding in a bid to help relieve pressure on foreign currency reserves.

22 May 2020

Moody's: G20 Debt Suspension Will Only Marginally Ease Pressures on EM Economies

The decision to suspect debt payment on debt to some of the world’s poorest economies will only marginally ease pressures on financing, according to a recent report from Moody’s Investors Service.

22 May 2020

With Widescale Chinese Debt Forgiveness in Africa Unlikely, Focus Shifts to Vulnerable Debtors

China has signalled its willingness to provide debt service relief alongside the G20 by signing onto the landmark agreement in April, a crucial tailwind for several Sub-Saharan African countries. But with wholesale debt forgiveness unlikely and debt reprofiling renegotiations potentially stretching on much longer than expected, attention is now shifting to some of the region’s more vulnerable…

21 May 2020

OPEC+ Production Cuts Will Place Additional Strain on Nigeria’s Economy

Adhering to the recently agreed OPEC+ oil production cuts will only deepen Nigeria’s economic problems and exacerbate its difficulties with external finances, according to a recent report by Fitch Ratings. Whilst liquidity provided by multilaterals will help ease some pressures in the short-term, macroeconomic strains will continue.

20 May 2020

South Africa Details Rise in Government TB Auctions

The National Treasury announced a step-up in local currency borrowing in the form of South African Government Bills (SAGB) and inflation-linked bonds (ILB). But according to Peter Attard Montalto, Head of Capital Markets Research at Intellidex, additional government borrowing in the mid- to long-term may become unsustainable.

12 May 2020

Kenya, Uganda Score IMF Funding in Boost for COVID-19 Response

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved rapid disbursements of emergency funding for Kenya and Uganda this week to help the East African nations finance measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic.

7 May 2020

Kenya to Raise KES50bn in Domestic Markets in May

Kenya’s central bank said it plans to raise KES50bn (approx. USD471mn) in five-year paper in May this year.

6 May 2020

COVID-19 Poses Severe Threat to South Africa’s Banking Sector - Fitch

The pandemic poses ‘significant downside risks’ to South African banks, according to Fitch Ratings, as asset quality and earnings face downward pressure.

30 Apr 2020

Nigeria Pledges Switch to Domestic Market Funding as IMF Approves USD3.4bn in Support

Nigeria’s government plans to hold off borrowing internationally and instead tap the domestic market to finance the 2020 budget, the country’s president said this week. The move is seen as an important shift in government policy amidst tumbling oil prices and rising bond yields.

29 Apr 2020

Mozambique Secures USD309mn IMF Loan for Balance of Payments Support

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a SDR227.2mn (approx. USD309mn) emergency loan for Mozambique late last week in a bid to help the country meet urgent balance of payment and fiscal needs stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic.

27 Apr 2020

Land Bank Potentially Triggers Default

South African government-owned Land Bank may have triggered a default under the terms of its ZAR30bn domestic medium-term note (DMTN) programme after failing to make a payment on a revolving credit facility (RCF), despite previously reporting a strong liquidity profile.

22 Apr 2020

Kenya’s Banking Sector Poised for More Consolidation – Cytonn Investments

With 38 lenders catering to just over 52 million people, and despite a series of mergers, the Kenyan banking sector appears overbanked. Further consolidation is expected in the years to come, which could result in a number of larger, better-capitalised, more stable banks, according to Cytonn Investments.

22 Apr 2020

South Africa’s ZAR500bn Fiscal Bazooka Risks “Chasing a Growing Hole”

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa unveiled a ZAR500bn (approx. USD26.5bn) fiscal support package this week in a bid to help ease some of the economic pressures caused by the spread of COVID-19 and the lockdown designed to contain it. Analysts say South Africa, which was already in a precarious fiscal position before the lockdown began, was right to jump off the fiscal cliff – but now risks…

22 Apr 2020

Nigeria OPEC+ Mandated Production Cut “More Palatable” than Initially Feared

Renaissance Capital analysts Nikolas Stefanou and Alexander Burgansky suggest the headline 23% figure quoted in the OPEC+ agreement excludes condensate production, which makes up a large share of Nigeria’s overall oil output.

17 Apr 2020

“More to be Done” From Kenyan Government to Buoy Economy – Cytonn Investments

Kenya has so far managed to limit the spread of COVID-19, with just 184 cases and 7 deaths reported as of 10 April 2020, and the government has responded with fiscal and monetary measures to buoy the economy. According to Cytonn Investments, the government’s actions need to go further but the government remains constrained by its fiscal deficit.

16 Apr 2020

COVID-19, Rating Downgrade Push South Africa’s Economy Off the Edge

South Africa’s ailing economy has long teetered on the edge of a recession, with only a light breeze needed to send it off the cliff. Is the coronavirus pandemic, which has intersected with the Moody’s downgrade of the sovereign to junk, a death knell for the continent’s second largest economy?

15 Apr 2020

IMF Approves USD422mn for Senegal to Help Address COVID-19

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has approved two new facilities totalling SDR323.6mn in financial aid for Senegal in a bid to help the West African country support its balance of payments needs stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic.

14 Apr 2020

Analysts Revise Kenyan GDP Growth to 4.3% for 2020

Kenya’s economy, like many of its peers on the continent, is being hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, with analysts revising the country's growth prospects downward.

8 Apr 2020

Nigeria’s Economy Could Contract by 3.4% Unless ‘Radical’ Stimulus Measures are Passed, Finance Minister Says

The Nigerian economy could contract by as much as 3.4% this year unless ‘radical’ stimulus measures are put in place to stem the economic fallout from coronavirus, the country’s Finance Minister said.

7 Apr 2020